Bitcoin Bottom Score — History

25-signal consensus model · daily · 366 data points

65–100% · Bottom Zone

45–65% · Accumulate

30–45% · Neutral

0–30% · Hold / Exit

BTC Price (log scale)

25-signal consensus model · P(bottom) computed daily · backfill from 2017-01-01

Bitcoin Cycle Bottom History (2017–2025)

This chart shows the daily Bitcoin cycle bottom probability score backfilled from January 2017 through today. Each data point represents the composite reading of 25 on-chain and macro signals on that date. The score peaks near confirmed cycle lows — 2018, 2020, and 2022 — and drops during bull market tops.

How to Read This Chart

Score spike → 60–100%

Signals clustering near historical bottom conditions. The chart shows these clearly at the 2018, 2020, and 2022 lows.

Score plateau → 40–60%

Mixed on-chain readings — typical of mid-cycle consolidations and bear market bounces where accumulation is reasonable.

Score trough → 0–40%

Euphoric bull market conditions where on-chain data warns against new capital deployment at current prices.

Historical scores are computed using the same model weights applied to historical on-chain data. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.